Arthur Hayes: Middle East War Ignites, Bitcoin Rises

Arthur Hayes argues that historical patterns show US Middle East conflicts are typically followed by Fed monetary easing, potentially creating a favorable environment for Bitcoin as an inflation hedge and risk asset, though investors should wait for policy confirmation before aggressive positioning.

$2.50B Gamma Unwind Looms, Liquidity Still Not Back Behind Rebound

The recent crypto market rally appears driven more by short gamma positioning dynamics than fundamental improvement, with $2.5B in gamma exposure set to unwind while $26.7B in capital has flowed out since Bitcoin’s peak, suggesting the rebound represents a tactical opportunity rather than a structural reversal.