BIT Research Report | US Stock New Space Economy: From “Sci-Fi” to “Hard Currency”

Key Data: $626 billion in market capitalization by 2025; UFO ETF annual return +153%; SpaceX target valuation of $1.75 trillion; RKLB annual return +250%. I. Investment Core: The Five Gold Mines of the Space Economy. Don't confuse all "spaceflight" companies. Understanding the logic of the sector is more important than stock selection before researching individual stocks: 1. Launch Services – "Space Express" Business Model: Delivering payloads into orbit, billed per launch. Risk Level: High (Engineering failure risk; a single failure could affect contracts for several years). Representative Companies: SpaceX (monopoly position), Rocket Lab (RKLB). 2. Satellite Communications and Broadband (SatCom) – "Orbital Operator" Business Model: Stable subscription model, providing broadband connectivity globally, excellent cash flow. Risk Level: Medium (Large upfront capital investment, but deep moat). Representative Companies: SpaceX (Starlink), AST Space Mobility (ASTS). 3. Earth Observation – “Space Big Data SaaS” Business Model: Daily imaging and data sales to governments, agriculture, and defense. Risk Level: Low (high expected revenue, extremely low marginal cost). Representative Company: Planetary Labs (PL). 4. Defense – “Hard Currency Infrastructure” Business Model: Long-term government contracts providing missile early warning, GPS, and military satellites. Risk Level: Extremely Low (strong hedging attributes, supported by national strategy). Representative Companies: LMT, NOC, LHX. 5. Space Infrastructure – “Long-Term Exploration” Business Model: Building forward-looking hardware such as lunar landers and on-orbit services. Risk Level: Extremely High (currently in a pure cash burn phase, dependent on government funding timelines). Representative Company: Intuitive Machines (LUNR). II. Why is the Space Sector Entering a Golden Age? Space has shifted from a government-exclusive domain to a commercially profitable one. An engineering breakthrough has reduced the cost of entering orbit by 95%. Explosive Growth: The global space economy has reached $626 billion. McKinsey predicts it will reach $1.8 trillion by 2035. Core Driver: Reusable rockets – the Falcon 9 has completed over 640 launches as of April 2026, completely transforming the economic model. Satellite Broadband Demand: With 3 billion people worldwide lacking internet access, satellite constellations are the only large-scale coverage solution. SpaceX IPO Effect: The IPO filing in April 2026 will draw the attention of mainstream institutional investors to this sector. III. SpaceX IPO: What is it, and why is it important? A confidential filing was submitted on April 1, 2026, with the goal of completing one of the largest IPOs in history on Nasdaq. Financial Performance: Total revenue of approximately $15-16 billion and EBITDA of approximately $8 billion in 2025.Starlink has surpassed 10 million global users, with a profit margin as high as 63%. Valuation warning: 1.75 trillion corresponds to a forward price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of approximately 87 times. This premium reflects the market's extreme optimism about the integration of Starship and xAI. DXYZ special warning: Destiny Tech100 (DXYZ) has long traded at a premium of approximately 50% above NAV. After SpaceX's official listing, DXYZ's scarcity will disappear, and it may face significant selling pressure. IV. In-depth analysis of key listed companies Rocket Lab (RKLB): 2025 revenue of $602 million (+38%), order backlog of $1.85 billion (+73%). Highlights: The Neutron rocket is the core of its competitiveness. Currently, its free cash flow is negative $322 million, still in the capital investment period. AST Space Mobility (ASTS): 2026 revenue guidance of $150 million to $200 million, with major partners such as AT&T and Vodafone. Key Highlights: Validating direct satellite connection technology for ordinary mobile phones. Planetary Labs (PL): FY2026 revenue hit a record high of $307.7 million, with recurring revenue accounting for 98%. Key Highlights: A typical software-driven aerospace company with an extremely solid foundation of government contracts. Intuitive Machines (LUNR): Provides transportation for NASA's Artemis program, with an order backlog of $943 million. Key Highlights: Extremely volatile stock price, mainly fluctuating with NASA mission milestones. V. Allocation Tools: Space-themed ETFs UFO (Procure Space ETF): Highest purity. One-year return +153%. Management fee 0.94%. Expected to become a core holding after SpaceX's IPO. ARKX (ARK Space Exploration): Actively managed. One-year return +74.4%. More focused on the intersection of aerospace, AI, and big data. ITA (iShares Aerospace & Defense): Conservative first choice. Mainly composed of traditional defense giants such as Boeing and Lockheed Martin, with significantly lower volatility. VI. Investment Risks and Key Catalysts for 2026 Core Risks: Valuation Bubble (RKLB and SpaceX are trading at extremely high revenue multiples, with the positive impact already fully priced in), Equity Dilution (most early-stage companies raise funds through new share issuances, leading to dilution of existing shareholders' equity), Lock-up Period (SpaceX's lock-up period after its IPO (September-December 2026) expires, potentially triggering additional market supply). Key Catalysts for 2026: SpaceX S-1 Prospectus (will publicly release audited financial statements and detailed Starlink data for the first time), Neutron Rocket Development (can RKLB truly break SpaceX's monopoly in the medium-to-large payload market), ATS Revenue Ramp-up (verifying the commercial closed loop of the mobile phone direct connection business). Summary: Investors with a more conservative risk appetite typically first understand this sector through broad ETFs or large, established defense companies before considering researching individual pure space companies.For investors with a higher tolerance for volatility and a longer time horizon, in-depth research into stocks like Rocket Lab or AST Spacemobile is advisable. However, it's crucial to understand that greater upside potential comes with greater downside risk. Investors focusing on speculative sectors, such as lunar infrastructure or early-stage launch companies, are essentially making long-term judgments about which companies will continue operating and growing five to ten years from now. This requires a completely different analytical framework than researching profitable, cash-rich, mature companies. Investors using tools like DXYZ should take the time to understand the structure of the tool before drawing any conclusions. In some structures, the market price of a financial instrument can differ significantly from the value of its underlying asset. Identifying your investor type before researching specific companies helps ensure you're focusing on the right information and asking the right questions. The integration of crypto assets with traditional securities markets has entered a substantial phase. BIT's US stock business operates under a compliant brokerage framework, supporting USDT/USDC stablecoin deposits and withdrawals with instant 24/7 processing. It covers over 1,000 US stocks and ETFs, providing crypto users with a direct trading channel to the US stock market. Data is current as of April 2026. Data sources include Novaspace (12th edition of the Space Economy Report and 24th edition of the Government Space Program Report), the Space Foundation (Q2 2025 report), and industry data from OrbitalRadar.com. Company fundamentals and market analysis combine in-depth reports on Rocket Lab, SpaceX, and DXYZ from 24/7 Wall St., The Motley Fool, Seeking Alpha, Morningstar, and Blockonomi; financial forecasts and launch records reference Quilty Space's Starlink forecasts, Wikipedia's Falcon and Electron launch archives, and official financial reports from Rocket Lab and Planet Labs. Furthermore, this report also incorporates the latest information on the space sector, ETF Trends, Procure ETFs, and TradingKey regarding ETF performance and Starlink financial data from WTP, ETF Trends, Procure ETFs, and TradingKey. Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Clients should consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. [BIT]

RichSilo Exclusive Analysis:

The Space Economy-Crypto Convergence: Investment Opportunities at the Final Frontier

The space economy is undergoing a historic transformation from government-funded “sci-fi” to a commercially viable “hard currency” sector, with projections reaching $626 billion by 2025 and potentially $1.8 trillion by 2035. For crypto investors, this represents not just a traditional investment opportunity, but a convergence point between two of the most disruptive technological frontiers of our time. As reusable rockets have reduced launch costs by 95% and private companies like SpaceX target valuations of $1.75 trillion, blockchain technology offers the financial infrastructure and tokenization mechanisms needed to democratize access to this emerging asset class.

Blockchain: The Financial Infrastructure for Space

The space economy presents unique challenges that blockchain technology is uniquely positioned to solve. Traditional capital markets struggle with the high capital intensity, long investment horizons, and technical risks associated with space ventures. Blockchain offers:

Asset Tokenization: Companies like SpaceX, with its $1.75 trillion valuation target, could benefit from fractional ownership through tokenization. This would allow retail investors to participate in space asset ownership without the prohibitive minimum investments traditionally required. The success of space stocks like Rocket Lab (RKLB), which delivered 250% annual returns, demonstrates the retail appetite for space exposure that tokenization could amplify.

Decentralized Funding Mechanisms: Initial offerings for space startups could leverage token sales, providing capital without the equity dilution seen in traditional venture rounds. This is particularly relevant for early-stage companies like Intuitive Machines (LUNR), which are in “pure cash burn phases” and dependent on government funding timelines.

Transparent Revenue Sharing: Satellite constellations like SpaceX’s Starlink, which boasts 10 million users and 63% profit margins, could implement token-based revenue sharing models. This would align token holders’ incentives with network growth, creating a more loyal user base and stable funding for expansion.

Space-Themed Crypto Projects: Beyond the Hype

The intersection of blockchain and space extends beyond traditional equity tokenization. Several crypto-native projects are building critical infrastructure for the space economy:

Decentralized Satellite Networks: Projects like Helium and IOTA are pioneering decentralized wireless networks that could complement traditional satellite providers. While current satellite constellations like SpaceX’s Starlink provide connectivity, blockchain networks offer ground-based infrastructure that can create a more resilient, redundant global communication ecosystem.

Space Data Marketplaces: Earth observation companies like Planetary Labs, which reported $307.7 million in revenue with 98% recurring, could leverage blockchain to create transparent, auditable data marketplaces. Tokenized data rights could enable microtransactions for satellite imagery, opening up new revenue streams for providers and access for consumers.

Space DeFi Protocols: Decentralized finance protocols could provide specialized financial products for the space economy, including launch insurance, orbital debris liability coverage, and satellite maintenance financing. These protocols would need to address the unique risks of space operations, such as launch failure probabilities and orbital mechanics.

NFTs and the Digital Frontier

The space economy is creating new digital assets that can be tokenized as NFTs:

Digital Collectibles: Historic space missions, satellite launches, and astronomical discoveries could be commemorated as NFTs, creating a new market for space enthusiasts and collectors. Projects like MoonCatResurrection have already demonstrated the market for space-themed NFTs.

Virtual Property Rights: As humanity moves toward virtual worlds and metaverse experiences, blockchain-based property rights in virtual space could become valuable assets. Companies developing virtual representations of space stations, lunar colonies, or Mars habitats could leverage NFTs to establish clear ownership.

Access Tokens: NFTs could serve as access tokens for exclusive space-related content, experiences, or even future space tourism opportunities. This would create a new revenue stream for space companies while building community around their brands.

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Risks and Challenges for Crypto Investors

While the space economy-crypto convergence presents significant opportunities, investors must navigate unique risks:

Valuation Bubbles: The space sector is already experiencing extraordinary valuation multiples, with SpaceX targeting an 87x forward price-to-sales ratio. Crypto investors should be wary of projects that simply tag “space” to their whitepapers without substantive technological or economic backing. The 250% annual return of Rocket Lab demonstrates the sector’s potential but also warns of extreme volatility.

Regulatory Uncertainty: Both space and crypto operate in regulatory gray areas. As governments develop frameworks for commercial space activities and digital assets, regulatory changes could impact valuations and business models. The SEC’s approach to space ETFs like UFO (which has delivered 153% returns) could set precedents for how crypto-based space funds are treated.

Technical Risk Convergence: Space projects face unique technical risks, including launch failures, orbital debris, and space weather events. Crypto projects integrating with space infrastructure inherit these risks while adding blockchain-specific vulnerabilities like smart contract exploits. Investors must evaluate both technology stacks.

Market Saturation: As the space economy gains traction, we may see a flood of crypto projects claiming to solve space-related problems. Distinguishing between genuine innovation and “space-washing” will require rigorous technical due diligence.

Strategic Investment Approaches

For crypto investors looking to participate in the space economy, several strategies emerge:

Infrastructure First: Focus on foundational blockchain infrastructure that supports space applications rather than speculative space-themed tokens. Projects building decentralized satellite networks, secure data transmission protocols, and specialized DeFi products for space operations may offer more sustainable returns.

ETF Exposure: For investors seeking diversified exposure, space-themed ETFs like UFO (Procure Space ETF) and ARKX (ARK Space Exploration) offer traditional market exposure. As these ETFs incorporate blockchain and crypto components, they could provide a bridge for traditional investors entering the crypto space.

Niche Applications: Identify specific pain points in the space economy that blockchain can solve more effectively than traditional solutions. For example, satellite companies like AST Space Mobility, which partners with AT&T and Vodafone, could benefit from blockchain solutions for secure, low-cost data transmission and billing.

Long-Term Horizon: The space economy requires patient capital. While some early investors in companies like Rocket Lab have seen extraordinary returns, most space projects have long development cycles. Crypto investors should prepare for similar timelines, avoiding projects that promise unrealistic short-term returns.

Conclusion: The Final Frontier for Crypto Innovation

The convergence of the space economy and blockchain technology represents one of the most exciting frontiers for crypto innovation. As the space economy grows from $626 billion to potentially $1.8 trillion by 2035, blockchain offers the financial infrastructure, asset tokenization mechanisms, and decentralized governance models needed to democratize access to this new asset class.

For crypto investors, the key is to distinguish between genuine technological innovation and speculative hype. Projects with clear use cases, robust technical implementations, and alignment with the long-term growth trajectory of the space economy offer the best risk-adjusted returns. As we stand on the brink of a new era in space exploration and commercialization, blockchain technology may prove to be as revolutionary for the space economy as reusable rockets have been for launch costs.

The question for crypto investors is not whether the space economy will grow, but which blockchain-native projects will capture the value created as humanity expands its economic activities beyond Earth. Those who can identify and support the most promising projects at this early stage may find themselves among the pioneers of this new technological frontier.

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