Pantera Capital: When crypto is a service, what changes have we made?

2026 will be a pivotal year. We will see “crypto as an industry” completely transform into “crypto as a service.” Over the past decade, the crypto world has been full of gimmicks. The approval of the Bitcoin ETF in 2024 has gained it recognition from mainstream finance. In 2025, everyone will be focused on building the underlying infrastructure. And by 2026, the real value will belong to those companies that use blockchain to solve long-standing problems in traditional industries, while making users completely unaware of the existence of blockchain. The future crypto unicorns will no longer rely on hype to get started. They will be the kind of companies that use blockchain technology to improve product efficiency by an order of magnitude, thereby leveraging trillion-dollar markets and completely hiding complex technologies.

When the Iranian conflict broke out, the US stock market was closed for the weekend and unable to react to the sudden global risks. But the crypto market did not stop, and Bitcoin once rose to $74,000.00. Commodities took the lead in price discovery on the decentralized prediction market Hyperliquid, earlier than the opening of traditional markets. This is not an isolated case—the same was true when China introduced policies last month. Traditional hedge funds are increasingly flocking to this field. The crypto market’s “7×24 hours non-stop” is no longer just a slogan, but a structural advantage that traditional finance cannot match.

Nevertheless, the current valuation of the crypto market is still far below what its fundamentals should reach. We are undoubtedly in another bear market (this is the fourth time I have experienced it), but this time it is completely different: regulation is gradually becoming clear, institutional funds have already entered the market, and the infrastructure is becoming increasingly完善. This feeling was particularly strong at the recent Hong Kong Consensus conference. The vitality of the Asian market is in stark contrast to the West. There, bipartisan government support, newly entered institutional funds, and a focus on consumer applications are all driving strong bullish sentiment.

Highlights of Asia in 2026:
· Cross-border payments through stablecoins, especially in the B2B field. For Asia, where the economic system is more decentralized, crypto payments are a natural choice.
· Tokenization of gold, stocks, and real estate. Asian banks and fintech companies are catching up with the United States.
· Perpetual contract trading on DeFi. Driven by retail investors, the development speed may exceed that of the West.
· Prediction markets are expected to become an important track, although the form may be different from the West.

The core theme of 2026 is to shift from “crypto as an industry” to “crypto as a service.” The goal is no longer to let users see the blockchain, but to make them completely forget about its existence. In the past ten years, we have been keen on creating “crypto wonders”—Gas fee wars, TPS competitions, modular stacks, ZK proofs. The ETF in 2024 is a vote of approval from mainstream institutions. In 2025, we will have laid all the underlying infrastructure. In 2026, it’s time to turn around.

The new generation of unicorns will not be the kind of “L3 network built for AI-NFTs.” They will be the companies that use blockchain to increase product efficiency tenfold while completely hiding the technology, thereby leveraging trillion-dollar markets. This perfectly explains our recent investment logic:

Novig: Farewell to the “commission” era ($75.00M Series B). The traditional sports gaming is a monopolistic and deformed market. Bookmakers extract high commissions from every bet, resulting in dismal user profitability, only 2.00%. Our lead investment of $75.00M in Novig is because they treat sports gaming as a high-frequency financial product. Through a peer-to-peer trading model, Novig users’ average profitability reaches 23.00%. Most users don’t care whether a decentralized order book is used in the background; they only know that they can get the best odds in the United States here. This is a vivid example of “crypto as a service.”

Based: Consumer-grade super app ($11.50M Series A). We recently led Based’s Series A financing. This is a composable Web3 consumer-grade super app built on the Hyperliquid ecosystem. “Consumer-grade crypto” used to be synonymous with “clumsy experience.” Based is changing this by making the on-chain interaction experience as smooth as a top fintech App. Cross-chain bridging and Gas fees these complex operations are abstracted away, and users are not aware of them at all. They only need to focus on the social and financial value brought by assets.

Doppler: Default asset issuance infrastructure ($9.00M seed round). If Based and Novig are cool new cars, then Doppler is a high-performance fuel system. We led Doppler’s $9.00M seed round with the goal of becoming the default infrastructure for on-chain asset issuance. It allows developers to issue assets with institutional-level security and compliance standards without having to build all the underlying layers from scratch. Doppler is like the Stripe of the on-chain asset world—purely practical functions, all packaged behind a concise API.

This trend of “invisibility” also runs through our entire investment portfolio:
· Real-world assets: Tokenized treasury bonds are no longer an experiment in the crypto world; they are becoming the backend liquidity cornerstone of global trade.
· AI agents: Blockchain provides a credible “truth layer” for AI agents through prediction markets and verifiable data, allowing them to interact with digital assets autonomously and credibly.
· Agent payments will accelerate all of this. Payment standards like x402 allow AI agents to directly complete transactions with crypto assets. The gradual clarity of stablecoin regulation makes this payment track smoother.

If you are planning to start a business in 2026, my advice is simple: stop talking about technology and talk more about what practical problems you can solve. If the page in your fundraising presentation that talks about consensus mechanisms is before the one that talks about customer ROI, it means your thinking is still stuck in 2022. We are looking for teams that are building the next Novig, Based, or Doppler—those who truly understand what “mass adoption” means: when a technology becomes so smooth that people completely ignore its existence, it truly enters thousands of households.

[Foresight News]

RichSilo Exclusive Analysis:

The Invisible Revolution: How “Crypto as a Service” Will Reshape the Market in 2026

Pantera Capital’s latest market assessment presents a compelling thesis that 2026 will mark a paradigm shift in the crypto industry: the transition from “crypto as an industry” to “crypto as a service.” This evolution represents not just a cyclical market movement but a fundamental maturation of blockchain technology’s role in the global economy.

Market Transformation: From Hype to Practicality

The three-stage evolution outlined by Pantera provides a clear roadmap for understanding where we are and where we’re heading:

  1. 2024 (Recognition): Bitcoin ETF approval brought mainstream finance’s validation
  2. 2025 (Infrastructure): Focus on building robust underlying technological layers
  3. 2026 (Application): Blockchain becomes invisible, solving real problems without user awareness

This framework suggests we’re currently in the transition phase between infrastructure building and practical application. The implications for token prices are significant: we may see a divergence between infrastructure tokens and application-layer tokens, with the latter potentially outperforming as they capture real market value.

Structural Advantages Creating New Market Dynamics

Pantera correctly identifies crypto’s 24/7 operational capability as more than just a marketing slogan—it’s becoming a structural advantage. The Iranian conflict example, where Bitcoin reached $74,000 while traditional markets were closed, demonstrates crypto’s emerging role as a global risk asset that doesn’t respect traditional market hours.

This structural advantage will likely:
– Increase institutional adoption as hedge funds recognize crypto’s unique risk-return profile
– Create new arbitrage opportunities between traditional and crypto markets
– Position crypto as a complementary system rather than a competitive one

🚀 Bybit Limited Time: The World's #1 Crypto Platform! Sign up to claim up to 30,000 USDT in rewards, and automatically activate a lifetime 20% Fee Discount!
Join Bybit Now

The Asia Premium: Why Eastern Markets Are Leading

Pantera highlights a crucial geographical divergence: Asian markets are showing stronger vitality compared to Western counterparts. This “Asia premium” appears driven by:

  • Bipartisan government support (unlike the politically polarized West)
  • Earlier institutional adoption
  • Focus on consumer applications rather than ideological purity

For investors, this suggests:
– Potential outperformance of Asian-focused protocols and tokens
– Greater regulatory clarity in Asian jurisdictions may attract risk-averse capital
– Consumer-facing crypto applications may see faster adoption in Asia

The “Invisible Blockchain” Investment Thesis

Pantera’s portfolio companies illustrate the “invisible blockchain” thesis perfectly:

  • Novig: Converts a 2% user profitability traditional industry to 23% through P2P models, without users caring about the underlying tech
  • Based: Abstracts away blockchain complexity to create a consumer-grade super app experience
  • Doppler: Provides infrastructure for asset issuance similar to Stripe’s role in payments

This represents a significant departure from the “build it and they will come” mentality of 2021. The new winners will be those who can increase product efficiency by an order of magnitude while making blockchain completely transparent to end users.

Token Price Implications: Infrastructure vs. Application

The shift to “crypto as a service” will likely create a bifurcation in token performance:

Infrastructure tokens (L1s, L2s, oracle providers, etc.):
– May face pressure as the technology becomes commoditized
– Will need to demonstrate clear value beyond basic functionality
– Could consolidate around a few dominant players with superior technology

Application tokens (DeFi protocols, RWA platforms, consumer applications):
– Potential for higher multiples as they capture real market value
– May benefit from network effects as user bases grow
– Could see revenue models that better align with token utility

Emerging Trends to Watch

1. Real-World Assets (RWAs)

The tokenization of traditional assets (treasury bonds, real estate, stocks) is moving from experimental to practical. This represents a multi-trillion dollar market opportunity that could bring institutional capital into crypto at scale.

2. AI + Blockchain Convergence

Pantera’s observation about blockchain providing a “truth layer” for AI agents is particularly prescient. This convergence could create new value propositions:
– Verifiable data for AI decision-making
– Autonomous agent-to-agent transactions
– Prediction markets as decentralized oracles

3. Agent Payments

Standards like x402 enabling AI-to-AI transactions represent a paradigm shift in how value moves in digital economies. This could create entirely new market dynamics as autonomous entities begin to transact at scale.

Risks and Challenges

Despite the optimistic outlook, several risks remain:

  1. Regulatory Uncertainty: While clearer than in previous cycles, regulation remains a moving target, particularly around stablecoins and RWA tokenization.

  2. Execution Risk: The “invisible blockchain” vision requires significant UX improvements that many projects struggle to achieve.

  3. Market Timing: Pantera acknowledges we’re still in a bear market, suggesting potential for further downside before the 2026 vision materializes.

  4. Competitive Threats: Traditional financial institutions are not standing still and may replicate crypto advantages without the decentralized element.

Investment Opportunities for 2026

Based on Pantera’s analysis, experienced investors should consider:

  1. Application-First Protocols: Projects that prioritize user experience and practical applications over technological innovation for its own sake.

  2. Infrastructure Abstraction Layers: Companies like Doppler that make blockchain complexity invisible to developers and users.

  3. Cross-Border Payment Solutions: Particularly in the B2B stablecoin space, where Asia’s economic fragmentation creates natural use cases.

  4. AI-Blockchain Hybrids: Projects that enable autonomous agents to interact with blockchain infrastructure seamlessly.

  5. RWA Platforms: Focused on tokenizing real-world assets with clear compliance frameworks.

Conclusion: A Maturing Market

Pantera’s analysis suggests we’re entering a fundamentally different crypto market cycle—one where practical utility replaces hype as the primary value driver. The “invisible blockchain” vision represents crypto’s ultimate goal: becoming so seamlessly integrated into our digital lives that we no longer notice its presence.

For investors, this means shifting focus from technological innovation to real-world problem-solving, from community building to customer acquisition, and from token functionality to user experience. The crypto market may still be in a bear phase, but Pantera’s analysis suggests the foundation is being laid for a more sustainable and valuable industry in 2026 and beyond.

The question for investors is not whether crypto will transition to “crypto as a service,” but which projects will successfully make this transition and capture the multi-trillion dollar markets that await them.

🚀 Bybit Limited Time: The World's #1 Crypto Platform! Sign up to claim up to 30,000 USDT in rewards, and automatically activate a lifetime 20% Fee Discount!
Join Bybit Now